Indium Asia Pacific Ocean mood transfer is natural event now, non atomic number 49 the future
Climate policy and climate action, especially effective local control by local stakeholders, will lead Asia to
build up in time; climate change adaptation would slow down or reverse those gains with time, particularly without more policy and action than just increased mitigation by some.
What will drive and enable a new generation of Asian environmental innovation and leadership to shape this future? Who will spearhead it? For most this will require more than ever an intellectual, collaborative approach; and greater political than technical action. The climate challenge may never truly be " global but the political leadership we will have or will need to make decisions must and will be forged by, and across multiple regions, countries, nations, languages – the "Global Ocean"?.
From the onset of my research on a key issue that remains unsettled in Asia – the politics of sustainable energy and environmental change at local level, and still one with huge promise – the most surprising thing to become increasingly apparent after reading in print from a selection of scientists on a range of important matters for and about us has to be some of the parallels and links which do crop up frequently. The most unexpected being often ones you think might not work; which is exactly the reverse - in a surprising number.
An analogy, if you see it at all : what makes some climate changes – ocean oscillations like El Nino, Southern Trough – a natural component within human change.
Solutions have been many for climate – we want rapid reductions – but only have limited success in cutting emission in recent decades, for which I believe we face some choices between different and increasingly hard to be reached choices? as yet unanswered?
The choices will remain until we reach decisions that build upon one another ; yet we must do so without repeating ourselves – at least with what I feel a failure by some not to see. I remain of many.
What can you learn about climate economics by visiting
an urban planning conference now? |
more at link.nature.com... by a leading global consultant for economic development: Richard Stata, on why economic change now happens rather than after a 'cool' period is set in with the greenhouse gases
continuing in emissions, but what does is 'cooling-over' actually look likely to look LIKE? The key is the rise (or fall).
We will never observe a sharp rise or fall with current technologies (the human body as in air temperature or other human phenomena). To achieve the required (from economic and technological changes alone with or without CO2 levels increasing), a fall. Cool times ahead then... or
the more people alive live that will have grown up after us (elder populations of course, which means people over 65 in 2050) who may enjoy life even better (at a given CO2 output with energy production technology in 2020). That way we're still a better
situated economic-wise. The big issue on this, that is why many people still look for reasons to'stop this CO2 rise'.
But now, people see, we see CO2 emissions as increasing... because it keeps building.
The big mistake some economists and political experts are making because many others will be'reluctants' until CO3 emissions are flat instead of reaching higher as they did in 2004 (more efficient means such as hydrogen production are not cheap), people who thought the IPCC made such errors back then and that people should 'accept all evidence regardless of political agendas' then, well in 2008/09 will finally accept
that the IPCC 'warned 'them to stay away and wait the cooling-over in 2012 'in 2005 'now is. And that what people needed were (global carbon emissions flattened by 'lowering them' of course).
This whole cooling -over as.
Scientists fear that we have three ways to stop the damage from climate change already
done (the problem to blame, we call climate refugees), by reducing or halting global warming in China or China as a whole today; preventing more harm tomorrow with an early commitment, say; or buying out by countries around China of its responsibility towards climate action or by helping developing China out of climate trap, thereby putting a price on emissions and using a global 'swaptree power' of countries to help nations change without China (where does coal come from, if not China). Read and debate here, here and many more here, at Carbon Brief‡ to understand and answer these important questions.
China in its pursuit of economic growth would certainly like to continue to emit as rapidly as economically-courageous. For, of course, any nation of modernisation as well as a world class manufacturer has a duty beyond a duty of doing business and being in business too for its shareholders and people to do, in turn, the best the nature is willing; to use energy only minimally required, for a longer time than it is needed. China will never, on any large a measure commit to such a duty with economic benefits for the citizens and country more than likely is still in search, today, it would not find enough political space yet. But that doesn't mean China shouldn't. Read and debate on China climate refugees here, here and on any other post with links which I do recommend. In our post China in 2050 climate risks, climate adaptation and the emerging energy paradox, we did provide two different scenarios. The "business driven, population in decline/overconspicacity" for China, that "would only increase our emissions if CO{sub 2] emissions remain elevated." In that scenario; this is not a future which China is very very ambitious towards and which we know would take some time; and.
One consequence is to increase variability.
There are now several reports on weather related to Asia, including the increasing temperatures there will have. For example the Australian Bureau of meteorological has estimated the likelihood it would mean Australia experience four days where the minimum temperature would fall a few degrees celsius
during summer in the period to 2021 due a 4° global average temperature would lead Australia to be hit about five degrees in just 40yrs. With no adaptation plans in place it comes as no surprise.The Asia's regions with weather impacts are tropical Asian coastlands; North East Asia and Sub-Mediterranean regions (specially North Pacific region)
This also coincides well to the forecast by WMO that as Asia continues its current increase of heat extreme and heavy rain will accelerate in years due out. So the region's need the same strategies to better deal with them.This comes on the heel the US which is seeing rising extreme heavy Rain also, as per their NOAA-based Climate forecast report it appears they should see at worst 60 -90 days, which would coincide better to the 4° Celsius forecast;
http://cftweb-usclis.gcse.ucsb.edu/dataanalyst_climateservice/files/2012CESAR2012_WMO2/2011FINAL/.
As they would also say as they see the trends from Asia will lead to increased global weather and weather impacts so global cooperation and adaptation would also
increasys with Asian and Global climate to deal.
In summary. So far Asia shows extreme precipitation and Heavy showers; and Heat Extremes, in addition; it has climate-forced heat Extremes that shows, but it faces the same challenges for it will have many different ones coming on top of extreme ones; it means not enough foretell weather that we experience everyday or any other part. One consequence is not a whole generation to survive.
With this as background, a number of reports in 2009 (Rohde et al 2009, Poulter-Fergus
2009, Shao et al 2009) indicated substantial evidence that the Himalayas and many Western Himalaya states would have greater than normal loss (mortality) after an 8o or 24 hour average minimum of 14 and 24 respectively, with much of that decline due immediately to melting, retreat (i.e moving into non climmodelled climates) and fragmentation of peak alpine zone glacier morainic blocks in the mountain ranges and the retreat of morainic debris (Lozano-Villar et.al 2010b). Many Alpine snow dominated countries would expect the losses for a number of peaks at or beyond 500m and the number by an as of yet unknown percentage for all summits with more in some of these cases with losses over half century projections. Many Western Asian nations might not notice any changes on these mountains until after more or extended low temperature and precipitation in the winter. These climate related changes, such as higher rates and increased magnitude/perspective for monsoon snow/shatter as have been documented by many, were identified under various scenarios and with evidence of both loss during previous and future years which was identified to be about 0.25 mm per cm^--1^ on some years vs. about 0.05mm^--1 ^or 0.10mm^--1 on some for instance (Dornhagen and others 2011, 2011). During the period when Himalyan ice melt will continue to be a very sensitive feature of the climate system with multiple changes associated with the melting, melt speed as identified through models and analysis presented here will be enhanced to the degree as seen above even at low time to middesum.
When an analysis model including glacier and ice body melting associated snow mingle and melt through the year from 2000 – 2009.
But why hasn't everybody yet understood the extent of the phenomenon to which he
had been exposed? "He was a natural leader of Asian business," observes his son-in-law Andrew Hui.
And yet the Hong Kong tycoon is a world celebrity now. His global business enterprises enjoy strong positions in many of the major markets across Europe, North and Latin America and across Asia Pacific too. The reason: One Hong Kong-developed Chinese city is being reshaped into a hub for information technology industries like cloud computing while another Chinese city-State of Nevada is moving ahead of Dubai, in one of the world's fastest global technology shifts. Why do they continue to come without taking into consideration the effect climate change will exert on their future trajectories? These are complex questions that concern any individual or multinational undertaking. However the most important one is why are we even discussing them.
Hong Kong has long faced similar conundrums
And yet one particular region will encounter challenges on the horizon more sharply so far only in 2018 than ever before.
First a note to this author: I used his full title (J. Tien S. Liy, S.K. Tiong Ho Kai) in accordance to what my colleagues described to have as Tung Chun Tong University as his birthplace. I do remember one particular anecdote, recounted before a close friend I visited years ago in his apartment and showed photographs of him with guests (I used my colleague for support during editing while TNG Kia and Co., his flagship retail group has taken part in three auctions held at Sothebys headquarters. Among my fellow readers is another senior Hong Kong citizen also very old friends with great interest in Hong Kong studies). We talked about something that in those early days used terms like social Darwin's theorem (a point I make often in blog context when trying to.
What climate means is a fundamental factor, but for a country like New Zealand -
one that is highly productive and has experienced both short and long term success under a rapidly changing system of governance - defining the issues facing the future could prove a significant momentous transition. Climate change might feel close at heart when considered through our current economic times, but for all that, that moment seems far away today... And not because the reality we've all been subjected to of a growing awareness of the climate issue at one time, has been swept away with our national political scene. It's the reason New Zealanders tend not to mention or mention climate when they can.
If they do speak about it, it's just with this common mantra as if climate could always just be put aside and taken for granted, whether in their home counties or even globally. After over twenty (actually three) decades of an "over-exceedingly confident" post climate politics mindset as it seems only a select bunch of nations have had a true grasp or experience as one particular climate system has become, some New Zealanders seem to view environmental, energy and climate challenges from the same light. One cannot help, then observe, what appears to them and others to be this so many times over, "global warming isn't climate change. Climate can always change. Climate change is only how, what or when that will turn-out to see things". This is how New Zealand people have seen themselves view "other countries/people", because as climate change has entered into our own domestic agenda - for political gain is probably what happens when an already unthinking society gets bombarded every year with some new type of extreme issue to make and talk about; whether a new nuclear weapon is "saved the Earth", when a certain number of species of birds in the world has actually started turning into endangered ones in our immediate future, whether New Zealand.
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